SBHOnline Trans-Atlantic Race Contest

Woo-Boy!

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Positions as of 23:00 ET. We shall see what the morning brings. Right now, the winner should cross the finish line before dark on Sunday.

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Last update for tonight, as of 01:00 ET - TeamWork is still in the lead, with Quegenir - Innovéo trying hard to catch them. With 148.8 miles to go, and TeamWork with a VMC of 9.2 knots, Quegrnir having a VMC of 8.8 knots, and Bretagne - CMB Perfotmance also having a VMC of 8.8 knots, it’s going to require something major to happen for the lead to change before the finish. In sailing, major things do happen, so again, we shall see what the morning brings.

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The weather update for Sunday, May 30:

Météo Consult - bulletin of May 30, 2021

May 30, 2021

General situation:

This Sunday, the high at 1032 hPa centered between Newfoundland and the Azores continues to maintain a moderate and very unstable trade wind between the Canaries and the northern Antilles.
On Monday, the arrival of a disturbance over the Azores weakened the high pressure. It retracts to the north. This development causes a relaxation of the pressure gradient near the West Indian arc and a decrease in the trade winds.
On Tuesday, the high pressure rises again and shifts eastward. It pushes the disturbance southward and favors a partial strengthening of the trade winds.
On Wednesday, the high pressure continues to shift eastward and now extends along the 37 th parallel north. This new development allows the trade winds to hold over the northern West Indies.

Weather conditions at sea:

Over the past 24 hours, the speeds of the first 14 competitors at an average of 8 knots have been fairly comparable… for both northerners and southerners. This explains why the gaps have mostly changed little, although we note that some northerners took advantage of a better angle to grab places. This is especially the case for the duo Tanguy le Turquais - Corentin Douget who is now second behind the leaders of the TeamWork boat of Nils Plamieri - Julien Villion. A few hours before the arrival in Gustavia for the first, the fleet is continuing its progress in the moderate and very unstable easterly trade winds at around 15 knots. The last 4 benefit globally from the same situation. The last of this transatlantic race is now more than 3 days behind the first, with a difference of 656 miles at 6TU. At the last reading of 6TU, the first two seemed to increase their lead a little thanks to the strengthening of the wind but above all thanks to a better angle of progression allowing them to keep an almost direct course towards the finish. On their way up north, the southerners will soon jibe to also make a route to 230. Also, in a few hours, we should find the 14 boats lined up in single file towards Saint-Barthélemy.

Sunday May 30

Up to 12TU, northerners will progress in slightly different weather conditions than those further south. Positioned in an area where the air mass is more unstable, their progression will be quite irregular due to the presence of more frequent squalls than in the south. The periods of slack, with a wind that can weaken to 2 beaufort, will alternate with sudden reinforcements during squall passages generating gusts of up to 30 knots. This strong irregularity and instability will force them to strengthen their vigilance in the management of squalls and the choice of sails. This situation could influence the differences between the first two. Given their better angle of progression compared to the southerners, they will nevertheless keep a margin on the gaps with the latter.

From 12TU, the trade wind between force 4 and 5 beaufort will become more stable for northerners. Squalls and gusts will subside and the wind will shift from the right to the south-easterly section. This development will again benefit the leading boats, taking advantage of a maximum angle of progression.

The approach to Saint-Barthélemy in the early afternoon (local time) will nevertheless be in a weakening trade wind, due to the presence of small depressions near the island which will favor the development of soft winds. With this drop in the synoptic wind when rounding the island, the experience of the skippers could make all the difference. If the drop in the easterly wind behind the first reliefs will not be very annoying at first, it is especially when approaching Gustavia where the reliefs are higher that areas of windfall could be created and perhaps change the game in the final sprint.

Throughout the evening and through the night, the arrivals will follow one another ... sometimes even very close together with the reconstitution and strengthening of the trade winds.

Monday May 31

Under a reconstituted trade wind, the arrivals will continue to follow one another. The first 15 in this double-handed Transat will thus have crossed the line, there will be 3 boats still in the race, with a gap of 200 miles between the 16th and the last. Positioned in the West Indian arc, they will progress in an easterly trade wind between 15 and 20 knots initially. However, with the wind direction to the northeast during the day, they will have to move north to maintain speed. This development should force them to arrive later on the island, with a very northern position.

Tuesday June 1 and Wednesday June 2

Taking advantage of a moderate easterly trade wind, the last two will sail at a speed of between 9 and 11 knots. Conditions will remain unstable and still conducive to the alternation of soft winds and sudden reinforcements, with gusts of up to 25 knots.

Weather conditions in Gustavia

Sunday May 30
A mix of sun and cloud.
Wind from easterly 20 to 30 km / h, gusting to 40-50 km / h in the afternoon.
Temperatures: 26 ° to 31 ° C
Chance of precipitation: 30% in the evening and at night

Monday May 31
Mostly sunny sky.
Wind from easterly around 25 km / h, gusting to 40-50 km / h in the afternoon.
Temperatures: 25 ° to 32 ° C
Chance of precipitation: 50% from the evening.

Tuesday June 1
Very changeable with risk of showers.
Wind from easterly around 25 km / h, gusting to 40-50 km / h in the afternoon.
Temperatures: 25 ° to 32 ° C
Chance of precipitation: 70%



Pascal Scaviner, METEO CONSULT
 
Commentary from the race's webpage:

Final destination

May 30, 2021

While the first arrivals should take place this afternoon (local time), TeamWork (Nils Palmieri and Julien Villion) still holds its advantage. The Southerners have stepped up their gybes to catch up with the Northerners and all will defend their skin dearly to obtain a place of honor. Snapshot of the situation before the joys of arrival.

Seventeen days of not giving up. Seventeen days to go, to fight against doubts, grains and fatigue. Seventeen days of writing the history of the Figaro Bénéteau 3, which raced across the Atlantic for the first time. The 18 duos of this Double Transat - Concarneau - Saint-Barthélemy have been faithful to their DNA, to their fighting spirit, to this ability to surpass themselves and give their all. To force the final decision, it took tenacity, self-sacrifice and a touch of mischief. As is often the case in this race, crossing the Atlantic came down to a choice of two routes: north or south.



TeamWork still in the lead

Southerners thought they were looking for deep and constant trade winds. The northerners hoped to avoid the Sargassum and knew the more daring bet. It paid off, the soft spots faded faster than advertised, the squalls slowed them down less and one duo benefited more than the others: TeamWork. Nils Palmieri and Julien Villion took the lead of the race two days ago. And with nearly 150 miles from the finish, they still have a valuable lead (7 miles) a few hours before approaching the roundabout.

Behind, however, the fight promises to be intense for the places of honor. Tanguy Le Turquais and Corentin Douguet (Quéguiner - Innoveo), also supporters of the north, are currently 2nd but under threat from the southerners, in particular Tom Laperche and Lois Berrehar (Brittany - CMB Performance), Pierre Leboucher and Thomas Rouxel (Guyot Environnement - Ruban Rose), Gildas Mahé and Tom Dolan (Breizh Cola). In total, there are 12 of them located within 30 miles of Quéguiner-Innoveo! The arrivals should therefore follow one another in Gustavia shortly and this is nothing new: in the last edition, in 2018, the first seven finished in less than 9 hours. Record broken earlier?



WORDS FROM THE EDGE OF THE NIGHT

Tom Laperche and Lois Berrehar (Bretagne-CMB Performance):

“We have seen the Northerners gain the advantage in recent days. Our state of mind has not changed: as from the start, we will give everything with the same desire. Here, we mainly try to manage the wind shifts we have, without dwelling too much on the standings. We hope to finish our race well: I think we can be happy with the track we made and our management of the race. "



Fabien Delahaye and Anthony Marchand (Groupe Gilbert):

“It's been a while since we saw that a boulevard opened in front of the group from the north and we were right. Our only hope is that we can pick up a bit and play with a few boats before we get there. What concerns us at the moment is to reach Saint-Barth. We can't wait for the arrival! "



Violette Dorange and Alan Roberts (Devenir):

“The northern option will surely pass for the top of the group but we are not sure if we will cross so easily in front. It's going to be hotly contested until the end. We hope to cross in front of the southerners. Obviously, this is our ambition. At the moment, it's quite complicated: the wind is weak and very changeable, it depends on the passage of clouds. It’s physical but we’re always going all out and trying to spare ourselves to give everything to the end! "
 
Positions as of 06:00 ET/Local. TeamWork is still in the lead, but several of the closest followers have a touch more speed.

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The last few miles require the boats to pass inside the last Mark, the blue dot just above Flamands, before they round Colombier for the final stretch into Gustavia.

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As of 07:00ET, TeamWork still has the lead, with 90nm left to go, with a projected finish time of mid-late afternoon.

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As a reminder, here are the contest entries. Right now, Amy has the lead boat.

Here are the entries:
Sbhlvr - Bretagne, 3:00 5/31/21
Toni - Breizh Cola, 4:00 31/5/2021
Amy – TeamWork, 3PM 5/31
Ellen – Guyot, 5PM 5/31
Didier – Guyot, 2PM, 5/31
Theresa – Guyot, 3PM, 5/31
Waylene - Guyot, 19:00, 5/30.
 
09:00ET, and 68 miles to go. If all goes well for TeamWork, their pursuers will run out of race course before they can catch up.

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As of 11:00ET, Queginet - Innovéo (VMC 10.7) has crept a little closer to TeamWork (VMC 10.1), but it still looks like they will run out of race course before catching up.

48.2nm to go.

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Commentary from the race website:

Nils Palmieri and Julien Villion (TeamWork) expected from 10 p.m. (mainland time) on the finish line [16:00ET / Local]

May 30, 2021

The Swiss Nils Palmieri and the French Julien Villion are very well placed to win the 15th edition of the Double Transat - Concarneau - Saint-Barthélemy. The TeamWork duo are expected on the finish line in front of the port of Gustavia from 4 p.m. local time, or 10 p.m. in metropolitan France. Behind, the match to complete the podium looks uncertain and breathless, even if Tanguy Le Turquais and Corentin Douguet (Quéguiner - Innoveo) are aiming for second place. By midnight local time, 14 pairs should have completed the course.

Supporters of the northern option, Nils Palmieri and Julien Villion are on the way to achieve a master stroke for their first participation in the Double Transat - Concarneau - Saint-Barthélemy, except last minute drama, always possible in the race for the large. At the 4pm (Paris time) score, they were 58 miles from the finish and had 16 miles ahead of their first pursuers, Tanguy Le Turquais and Corentin Douguet (Quéguiner - Innoveo).

The event record about to be broken

If they cross the finish line as planned around 10 p.m. [Paris time / 16: 00 ET / Local], the TeamWork duo could improve the reference time of the event established in 2018 by Thomas Rettant and Adrien Hardy (18 days 11 hours and 48 minutes).

Highly coveted podium places

Behind the probable winners, Tanguy Le Turquais and Corentin Douguet hold the rope to take second place, about two hours later. A big match is to be expected for third place since four duos stand in 4 miles (score of 4pm): Loïs Berrehar / Tom Laperche (Brittany - CMB Performance), Pierre Leboucher / Thomas Rouxel (Guyot Environnement - Ruban Rose), Alexis Loison / Guillaume Pirouelle (Normandy Region) and Éric Péron / Miguel Danet (L'Égoïste - Cantina St Barth). Until the end, this Double Transat - Concarneau-Saint-Barthélemy will have kept its promises with top-flight duos that will not let go until Gustavia, where the many Saint-Barths, their first supporters, will be waiting for them!
 
My high school’s team nicknamed...THE OCEANSIDE SAILORS. These are all brave sailors heading to St Barths and arriving safely today and tomorrow. That a new record time is possible, adds to the thrill of racing.
 
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