An update from the Transat Paprec webpage:
Below 1000 miles
No change this morning at the head of this 16th edition of the Transat Paprec: Skipper MACIF (Loïs Berrehar / Charlotte Yven) is still leading the dance, ahead of Mutuelle Bleue (Corentin Horeau / Pauline Courtois), 2nd at 3.8 miles from the leader and Brittany Region – CMB Performance (Gaston Morvan/Anne-Claire Le Berre), 3rd at 5.6 miles in the 08:00 ranking. This morning, these three boats were the only ones to have passed the 1000 mile mark before the finish. [At the time of posting this update from the Transat Paprec website at 05:00 SBH time, a 4th boat, Région Normandie, had also, passed the 1000nm mark, and the 5th and 6th place boats, Cap Ingélec and Edenred were within 5 and 15nm of it.]
The leading trio, wedged further north than the small group of pursuers made up of Région Normandie (Guillaume Pirouelle / Sophie Faguet, 4th), Cap Ingélec (Camille Bertel / Pierre Leboucher, 5th) and EDENRED (Basile Bourgnon / Violette Dorange, 6th ), begins to glimpse a potential podium. But there is still a long way to go and the game is far from over knowing that the leader still had 973.3 miles to cover at the 08:00 clock this morning. “The pressure is on this small group, which is held in less than 6 miles. Skipper MACIF no longer sees Région Bretagne – CMB Performance on the AIS, but there is only an 8-mile gap laterally, which is very small on the scale of a transatlantic race. They will meet again as and when they are recalibrated, says Francis Le Goff, the Race Director. They are sailing in 12-13 knots of wind, with small variations that they will exploit as soon as they can turn a little to starboard”. For them, the challenge will be to find small solutions to escape and get rid of their direct competitors.
If the leading trio seems unbeatable, nothing is yet lost for the small group of pursuers led by Région Normandie. "It's up to Guillaume and Sophie, and Camille and Pierre to play the game now. They have to find very small moves to tighten the lateral because when we do their routing to Saint-Barthélemy, the 32.7 mile delay of Région Normandie on Skipper MACIF translates into a 1 hour gap at the finish . There are still possibilities for these two boats to find solutions to catch up. They will have to try”, analyzes Francis Le Goff.
The challenge of the day: to manage the small starboard adjustments well before the very, very long port leg which will take them almost to the finish line, with, according to the latest routings, a last small adjustment at the end of the journey. "It's going to be interesting to watch how they are going to replace the small starboard tacks as the day progresses to snatch up the small miles needed to get this long port tack," says Francis Le Goff.
The Sunday morning Weather Forecast from the Transat Paprec website:
Weather forecast for Sunday May 14
General situation
This Sunday, moderate and irregular easterly trade winds at the southwestern edge of an anticyclone centered at 1031 hPa in the vicinity of the Azores.
Monday, moderate easterly trade winds on the southwestern edge of a vast anticyclone centered at 1030 hPa south of the Azores archipelago.
Tuesday, east-southeast trade winds on the southwestern edge of an anticyclone centered at 1028 hPa to the south-west of the Azores archipelago.
Weather conditions at sea on the Transat Paprec
Last night, in a moderate easterly trade wind, many sailors gybed on their way, after a long descent on the port tack towards the south-west. The objective of the sailors is to settle in well in latitude and to anticipate a rotation of the wind towards the east-south-east at the start of the week. They are looking to have the best angle to the wind possible to make a last long tack at a good pace towards Saint-Barthélemy
At 7 a.m. this Sunday morning, we observed the fine performance of Skipper MACIF (Loîs Berrehar / Charlotte Yven) who managed to distance Mutuelle Bleue (Corentin Horeau / Pauline Courtois) by 6 miles and Région Bretagne-CMB Performance (Gaston Morvan / Anne -Claire Le Berre) of 8 miles. If nothing is certain, the leader's choice of gybes, which are a little different from his two competitors, paid off last night. Région Normandie (Guillaume Pirouelle / Sophie Faguet) and Cap Ingélec (Camille Bertel / Pierre Leboucher) who were sailing on a more southerly course 34 and 53 miles from the leader, still couldn't manage to catch up on the leading trio.
Sunday May 14:
This Sunday, the sailors at the head of the fleet will see the trade winds lose some of their intensity (12-13 knots) and become a little more irregular, oscillating between 90 and 105°. Sailors must therefore be extra vigilant and carry out sail maneuvers and adjustments. The ranking remaining very tight for the first 3 competitors, a slight negligence or a badly operated maneuver can have serious consequences. With an air mass becoming a little more unstable, they also have to watch out for the passage of squalls which can give sudden variations in the wind, both in strength and direction. As you move west, the sea becomes a little less choppy and tidier with an easterly swell of around 1.5m coming from the stern of the sailboats. At the back of the fleet, Race for Science – Verder (Alice De Pfiffer / Edouard Golbery) operated gybes last night after a long tack with a south-westerly heading, so as not to go too far south and find a good compromise between trajectory and speed. The last Hélios Group – From Léman to the Ocean (Arnaud Machado / Lucie Queruel) continued a long tack on a course that became more and more southerly with a speed close to 10 knots. He should put the turn signal on the right so as not to stray too far from the road that leads to the Antilles.
In the evening and night from Sunday to Monday, a large part of the sailors will see the trade winds regain a little strength. The average wind of 13-14 knots at the start of the night will reach 16 knots at the end of the night, which will allow the sailors to gain some speed. They will have to negotiate their last gybes before embarking on a long tack on an almost direct course towards Saint-Barth. The skippers located at the back of the fleet will also benefit from an acceleration of the trade winds to gain a little speed.
Monday, May 15:
This Monday, progressing towards the West Indies, the bulk of the troop will see the trade wind turn right to move east-south-east. It will lose a little intensity compared to the previous night by becoming more irregular between 12 and 14 knots. They will have to settle in as well as possible in latitude to be able to operate a long tack descending towards Saint-Barthélemy. Some will operate the last gybes before embarking on this final descent which will be very trying for the skippers. They will have to not let go and take into account the squalls which will become a little more frequent and active, which can play spoilsports. With a ranking that will continue to be very tight at the head of the fleet, the game is far from over and this last part of the transat promises to be thrilling to follow.
During the night from Monday to Tuesday, the trade wind will be very irregular with jolts and a wind which could temporarily weaken to 7-8 knots. This will require sail trims and maneuvers that some may benefit from over others.
Tuesday, May 16:
This Tuesday, the east-southeast trade wind will provide a good wind angle for most skippers who will be sailing on port tack towards Saint-Barthélemy. They will have to remain very vigilant in this wind which will be quite unstable in terms of strength and direction. The presence of sargassum and more frequent grains will also require constant attention. Progression speeds will tend
to drop for the bulk of the fleet, the last competitors being a little more privileged with a slightly more sustained and less irregular trade wind.
Cyrille DUCHESNE, METEO CONSULT