Intriguing weather in 2018

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Blue confirmed in front of Africa...but it seems the heatwave is coming back over north Africa,already.
La nina still active,sadly.....we badly need El nino to kick in asap
 
Disruptive tidal flooding that now affects the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coastlines on 3 to 6 days per year will strike as often as 80 to 180 days a year by the 2040s, according to a major report from NOAA’s National Ocean Service released in February. These increases will be driven mainly by global sea level rise, the report notes

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/noaa-report-todays-damaging-floods-will-be-tomorrows-high-tides

My favorite part of the article:Based on years of polling from Gallup and the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, a stubborn 30% to 35% of Americans do not believe or aren't sure that human activity is the main cause of global warming

As i said several times,it is crucial for St Barth to hedge its bets about beaches.Every data and forecast shows "Danger rising" ..and fast.
 
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Not much change along the coast of Africa...still blue.
heatwave is back over northern Africa.Difficult to know how it will impact hurricane season...More sand and dry air ? or more spin ?
All forecasts i saw mention early systems this year.
 
Another interesting map,before the beginning of hurricane season

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if you wonder why it's interesting


Hundreds of millions of tons of dust are picked up from the deserts of Africa and blown across the Atlantic Ocean each year. That dust helps build beaches in the Caribbean and fertilizes soils in the Amazon. It affects air quality in North and South America. And some say dust storms might play a role in the suppression of hurricanes and the decline of coral reefs.


On short-term scales, dry air masses from Africa can sap the moisture-collecting energy of storm systems over the ocean. On the longer scale (years or longer), more dust can mean fewer storms because it blocks incoming sunlight, leading to cooler ocean temperatures
 
Very interesting. Is any of this weather stuff a predictor of sargassum around SBH?

No..sargassum have to do with Brazil,wind and currents ..
St Barth being up north doesn't get the worst of it
You can have floating islands several meters high ...as usual ,no one and nothing is ready to deal with it ))
 
Very interesting! I can’t, nonetheless, complain about Brazil . . . it sends many visitors to SBH, & when we had The Normandie, they were among our very best guests — uniformly courteous, respectful of property, nicely dressed, strong fluency in English, & thoughtful in remembering to tip the maid.
 
By the way,Copa airlines is reopening flights to SXM beginning of june...we well might see brasilians coming back to SBH very soon.
 
Another forecast gives 12/6/2 and ACE 84
In the Lesser Antilles Islands of the Caribbean, TSR projects one tropical storm and no hurricanes
El Nino is still a possibility ,but remote .
 
Some very interesting talks the last few days with prospective buyers on the island.
As i expected,the fact that the island is "open for tourism",compared to the other islands hit by hurricanes last year,is a major factor.
Florida and lots of coastal areas on the US east coast are perceived as too risky,which is not that surprising when you read the data about rising sea levels in some areas.The north atlantic is much warmer than usual,so you can expect the heat content in those areas to be strongly up.Same is true about the gulf of Mexico.

Interestingly,half of the island can be offline for tourism (cul de sac,Flamands,Toiny and so on)..no one cares..It's all about Gustavia,Saline and shell beach and beach restaurants.
Quite a few sales taking place lately,and a lot of people searching,including a new type of buyer:baby boomers retiring and looking for a safe place.
Depending on the upcoming hurricane season,i would tend to think real estate prices are about to pop up quite sharply if St Barth is sparred this summer.
St Barth luck might be about to change .Intriguing period.
 
. . . Quite a few sales taking place lately,and a lot of people searching,including a new type of buyer:baby boomers retiring and looking for a safe place. . . .
If, as you describe, there's a "baby boomer" bubble in the real estate market, I can understand . . . security in a safe, friendly, beautiful, civilized place. Being part of the subject generation, however, I personally find that I have growing -- though not inordinate -- concern about medical care on the island. I have been hospitalized on St. Barths on a couple of occasions, including once in connection with a very serious matter. The treatment and facilities were excellent . . . most particularly in view of French laws relating to hospital facilities and practices and the small size and remoteness of St. Barths. Experience, nevertheless, has taught me to be very mindful of health issues, both as I prepare to go to SBH and when on the island (a big part of the latter is a great afternoon nap!).
 
...I personally find that I have growing -- though not inordinate -- concern about medical care on the island.

As we age, and become less "bullet proof" than we mentally were in our younger years, that does indeed become a concern. So does the $25K+ cost of a Medevac, if needed. I've been subscribing to Medevac coverage for several years now.
 
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