When 511 Epidemiologists Expect to Fly, Hug and Do 18 Other Everyday Activities Again

JEK

Senior Insider
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...gs-coronavirus.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes

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Good stuff to think about; and to know what those “in-the-know” are thinking about.

Thanks, iDude.
 
Looks like our next trip to the island will be a ways off :(

These folks would be a very conservative sample, but it is good food for thought. I think large live venue enetertainment is going to be the toughest one to crack. Even if the fans might want to come will your favorite acts perform? Our local venue had to cancel this entire summer season as the groups stopped touring this year.
 
Meanwhile, on the ambitious late 20/early 21 Vaccine Front

Some uncertainties regarding the early race leaders - the candidates from Oxford and from a Chinese company that use adenovirus vectors (a technology which probably can ramp up quickly to mass production levels) and the mRNA candidate (entirely synthetic so theoretically rapidly producible but a vaccine type that has previously untested production capabilities and that is being developed by an unproven company)...

Works in progress and many other vaccine candidates are under evaluation..

But without antibodies, whether hard-earned in cases such as Pascale's or much more easily gained, giving an expected but uncertain level or degree of immunity, and with populations, even in hard-hit areas, having levels of potential immunity (~4% for France) way below what is considered needed for herd immunity (~70% the generally favored number), who knows when the disappointment over this weekend's canceled Sponge Bob Musical can be washed away?

(apologies to anyone who might think a difficult time in the music industry being made even more challenging is unintentionally made light of by the last remark...)
 
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