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Type: Posts; User: Izzy

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    Re: wish the media would share this

    The serology tests that are in various stages of readiness will need to be validated through use before they can be applied confidently. The tests used in the US will have some sort of "not evaluated...
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    Re: wish the media would share this

    Perhaps only knowledge that you have developed immunity would be sufficient... Seeing close hand what the disease can do across all age ranges would probably be enough for most to choose not to roll...
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    Re: wish the media would share this

    The AEI analysis is a good one and concordant with others with variabilities to predicting timing etc....

    We are looking for the light but unfortunately we are just entering the tunnel...
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    Re: wish the media would share this

    The Hopkins site and others using most recently reported numbers is really like looking in a rear view mirror for many reasons - an important one being lag between infection and reported end point...
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    Re: Are the beaches open?

    Posted by Kevin in the SBH- Related Coronavirus Info thread:

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    Re: l’expression du jour

    La liberté reviendra...
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    Re: Five Years Ago Today

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    Re: Gustavia photos this week

    A stunning contrast to Ed's photos of just a month ago, which also began with what can be considered a.storm cloud photo...

    I suppose we need to remember, as someone once wrote,:

    La vie...
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    Re: Conde' Nast Traveler April 2020 Issue

    Even I figured that out... i found it amusing how the carefree name dropping turned careless - a 19-year-old minor celeb (mainly due to being the current GF of an A- lister from an A list boy-band...
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    Re: Conde' Nast Traveler April 2020 Issue

    Maya Henry
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    Re: Conde' Nast Traveler April 2020 Issue

    Are you suggesting he ate animal flesh and enjoyed it? What was wrong with him?

    From All Our Yesterdays originally airing in March 1969.
  12. Thread: June trip

    by Izzy
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    Re: June trip

    Be careful not to mix raw numbers with curves.

    Comparing tiotal number of cases or mortalities relative to total popukation is at best misleading at this stage of the pandemic. It can carry...
  13. Thread: June trip

    by Izzy
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    Re: June trip

    Any discussion of mortality rate needs to be placed in context of the number of cases presenting in a given time period and the per-capita number of hospital beds, ICU beds, ventilators etc.. Right...
  14. Thread: June trip

    by Izzy
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    Re: June trip

    Two things to consider in figuring out how likely you will be able to go.

    Expect at least 2 months of strict and soon to be stricter measures in the US. It took a bit over 1 month after quarantine...
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    Re: L'Esprit Take Away BBQ

    Failed to see the politics in what was posted here but deleted and will refrain from further comment:
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    Re: St Barth Weekly Online

    Looking forward to your next issue - at a time the sands will roll out a carpet of gold for our weary toes to be touchin'.. and shaking of windows and rattlin' of walls is not from the battle outside...
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    Re: Quiet here in Flamands

    No disrespect to Dr. Fauci, but this is the Doc we need now:
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  18. Thread: Curfew?

    by Izzy
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    Re: Curfew?

    I hope St Barth takes full advantage of this opportunity to keep the outbreak under control like DaddyLeCool's Singapore has been able to so far. As he says, strict adherence for a prolonged period...
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    Re: Happy Anniversary, Amy and Phil!

    Here's to your 57th... and to your 58th at L'Esprit!
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    Re: SBH-Related Coronavirus Information

    I can't help quantify that but the closer the pandemic comes to me, the more my thoughts go to the math with which I am familiar regarding hospital beds, ICU beds, and respirators, etc. The various...
  21. Thread: Curfew?

    by Izzy
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    Re: Curfew?

    A littke more more detail can be found in this on France24 which includes this:

    "Interior Minister Christophe Castaner said 100,000 officers will be deployed to enforce the lockdown; anyone found...
  22. Thread: Curfew?

    by Izzy
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    Re: Curfew?

    'We are at war': Macron orders French to stay home over coronavirus epidemic

    Additional stories at that site and elsewhere.
    Cass posted Le Journal announcement in this thread.
    i have not read...
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    Re: Flights canceled to SXM

    Carefully heed how rapidly things have evolved when making plans for the upcoming days and weeks. Google back one or two weeks to articles written then about regions upon which the pandemic has...
  24. Thread: Bucket Cancelled

    by Izzy
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    Re: Bucket Cancelled

    "Flattening the curve" would result in a longer time to get back to normal but more of us should be around when the new normal comes. As explained here and elsewhere:

    "the epidemic may last...
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    Re: SBH-Related Coronavirus Information

    In context, I took this to mean that fate is still being tempted with tourists allowed entry by other means (plane, ferry, private boat, et.). Along those lines, an ARS official was quoted in Le...
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    Re: 2 Bucket Yachts collide

    "Listen it is completely crazy how we are sailing these boats now. This used to be a very cautious world. But just look at these boats. They are monsters. And it ain't a cautious world now. And all...
  27. Re: Princess Cruise Lines suspends service for 60 days

    Viking and Disney have also announced cruise suspensions.

    Norwegian has been reported here as using deceptive practices:

    "In the wake of the epidemic, a Norwegian Cruise Line (NCL) employee in...
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    Re: trump bans travel from europe for 30 days

    GOMER is going to another level - stay out of my ER (needs a catchy acronym).

    Drive-through testing is being used at some sites (e.g., Brigham in your area) and will likely increase as demand...
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    Re: trump bans travel from europe for 30 days

    Debd - you and others who have been following this closely may find reviews (introduction and discussion sections are intelligible even if other sections aren't) of travel bans in influenza and in...
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    Re: trump bans travel from europe for 30 days

    Ban as explained in the Guardian includes this, which may be the part of interest to you:

    "The restrictions will cover 'most foreign nationals' who have been in any of the Schengen zone countries...
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    Re: Météo France Weather Warning - Dangerous Seas

    Dinghies are moving a bit... we need a captain to weigh in on weighing and setting anchor...

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  32. Re: SBH Le Journal THE POSSIBLE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COVID-19

    Some, particularly the elderly and those with poor immune systems, may find the above self-contradictory... various sources (here is one) of the paraphrased quote link to the original on the hitherto...
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    Re: Coronavirus information

    From post 17 above in which a previously posted (post 15), somewhat evasive CDC response to the question was made more concise and (I thought) more clear:






    With the impact that this virus...
  34. Re: SBH Le Journal THE POSSIBLE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF COVID-19

    The way things are progressing, the island's worries may soon be much more about tourists who are coming than the ones who might be staying away.

    An article in Le Journal about local steps tells...
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    Re: Coronavirus information

    In terms of influenza, the pandemic influenzas of 1957 and 1968 have been cited by Dr. Fauci and others as potential comparables for what is still developing with this coronavirus outbreak. (For the...
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