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Type: Posts; User: Izzy

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    Re: new cases of Covid-19 imported to Guadeloupe

    A bit of context for the 100,000 number that first came up while I was writing my prior post (would have added, if I had seen it):

    Over 131,000 cases would be recorded in one day for a national...
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    Re: new cases of Covid-19 imported to Guadeloupe

    I will confine comments to a note of caution in relying on daily tallies, which are subject to reporting fluctuations that contribute to "noise" that can create confusion...

    Rolling averages,...
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    I suspect that the response to asking what constitutes a “very steep upward trend line”, which appears to have been added in to post 23 after the question in 24 quoted the initial post, would provide...
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    Which you define as?
    How many deaths are needed to constitute an “explosion”?
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    I am curious - taking the natural history of severe COVID into account and the short interval from diagnosis for the cases of the current surge, what alarm signal are you watching for at this point?...
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    Repeating what was noted in post 13 in response to what is being repeated from post 11 - there has been insufficient time to see how many deaths occur in cases that have recently been diagnosed. I...
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    And where do you think an escalation in positive cases in that demographic will lead and how do you account for the increased hospital and ICU admissions, some already reported to be nearing...
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    Stay tuned... The recently detected cases need to be given sufficient time to die. Deaths lag behind hospitalizations which lag behind cases.

    The surge in case numbers for the US is evident in...
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    Re: The Service for Marius and website link

    A translation, mainly from this source, of the poem (listen to a reading en français here) by Jean d'Ormesson:

    The Train Of My Life

    At birth, we get on the train and meet our parents.
    ...
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    Re: A Memory of Times at "The Office"

    Beneath the tree of flowering souls in Paradise, sits the Guardian of Paradise...
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    Re: Will France Block US Travellers?

    The reports that I believe broke the news were similar:

    Fox News: "Nations in the 27-member bloc are negotiating between two lists of countries whose citizens are allowed to enter based on how...
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    Re: COVID-19 testing center hours?

    A description of what the NY, NJ, and CT policies entail and don't entail is found in an excerpt from an ABC7NY report that can be read in full at the link. Anticipating that some may feel the...
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    Re: Sand mist warning 6/21

    A day that many St Barth lovers are feeling reminded that all are of the dust, and all turn to dust again but finding comfort from a subsequent chapter:

    Then shall the dust return to the earth as...
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    Re: COVID-19 testing before arrival -- but how?

    Repetition can create an illusion of truth...

    Post 34 above addresses, or at least attempts to address, your observation.
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    Re: Name those who no longer post

    KoryLGriffin, starter of the forum's longest running thread on 7/15/10 (most recent post 4/13/20)... a one hit wonder whose identity Voosh may have uncovered (#1659 of the thread).
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    Re: SXM opening 7/1 to all

    Interesting wording- "recommended to take a COVID-19 test... and provide proof upon arrival" and "arriving passengers may be subject to COVID-19 testing" being stated in the box dealing with "thermal...
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    Re: COVID-19 testing before arrival -- but how?

    I always thought of the setting as a bit like the bodhi tree when Marius was in session...

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    Re: COVID-19 testing before arrival -- but how?

    I believe what Eve was getting at is what was the reference "gold" standard in determining if your sister's test was a false negative or true negative.

    I am no stat/math guru (and my nearest...
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    Re: Goodbye Dear Marius, Rest in Peace

    In the spirit of his now valedictory speech at the 70th and as he is the one now being received in joy, let us treasure what has been inherited from his being among us for 97 too short years.

    Ave...
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    Re: COVID-19 testing before arrival -- but how?

    Issues regarding testing have been discussed a few times on this forum such as in this recent "protocol for entrants" thread.

    A full discussion would be tedious to most but in the setting of what...
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    Re: COVID-19 testing before arrival -- but how?

    A positive screening PCR doesn't change disease status - it just makes the individual aware of being contagious, at high risk of developing symptoms within 4 days, are at a variable level risk of...
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    Re: Question concerning emergent leaving SBH

    As long as the 7 day retest rule is in effect, an interesting dilemma arises for those who would typically stay past this point - taking the personal risk of testing positive and being unable to...
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    Re: As of June 22 the island is open

    My local experience makes me long for the days I worried about sargassum...

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    And if the virus don't get you...
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    At least is easy to social distance (soon to change..):
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    Re: Question concerning emergent leaving SBH

    Will prospective tourists be willing to accept the risk of finding themselves on "a ventilator in Guadeloupe" that island residents, particularly older residents and those with underlying health...
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    Re: As of June 22 the island is open

    False positives with PCR testing pose a potential problem. NPR, using a Santa Fe favorite (minus the frites) explains:

    What Mussels Can Teach Us About False Positive COVID-19 Tests

    The above...
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    Re: As of June 22 the island is open

    I wonder how (if) sanitary procedures for housing for seasonal workers will be addressed... communal and other shared housing are real vulnerabilities in regard to keeping COVID under control,...
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    Re: As of June 22 the island is open

    M. Magras, per Le Journal, has previously been google translated stating:

    "If a passenger tests positive on arrival, he must be confined to his villa or hotel or to the accommodation center that...
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    Re: Don't drink(all day at Nikki) and drive

    Crystal with the Cristal?
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    Re: Happy Birthday to my best girl.

    Happy Birthday - hope Phil and the l'Esprit backups did as good a job as these guys and the singers at #50!
  30. Re: When 511 Epidemiologists Expect to Fly, Hug and Do 18 Other Everyday Activities A

    Meanwhile, on the ambitious late 20/early 21 Vaccine Front

    Some uncertainties regarding the early race leaders - the candidates from Oxford and from a Chinese company that use adenovirus vectors...
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    Re: Protocol for entrants

    This is a fairly good discussion of antigen testing for COVID.

    The rapid flu test ain't so great - sensitivities "are generally approximately 50-70%, but a range of 10-80% has been reported...
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    Re: Thanks to all of you for my daily escape

    May reflect what is discussed here:
    Flattening the mental health curve is the next big coronavirus challenge

    Stay safe and positive...
  33. Thread: Rule Number 1

    by Izzy
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    Re: Rule Number 1

    3 photos connected to 1955, the year Marty McFly traveled to in the first movie:
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    The stories associated with photo 1 (more graphic here), photo 2, and photo 3.


    In the...
  34. Re: Official request made by Mr. Bruno Magras to reopen the borders on June 15th.

    A discussion of results of PCR tests obtained "just because" in asymptomatic individuals - it may be germane to the topic of PCR tests for entrant screening:

    Should I Get Tested For Coronavirus...
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    LA PHASE 2 DU DÉCONFINEMENT

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    From Le Journal... veuillez pardonner la traduction par M. Google.

    COLLEGE, SPORT, DISCOTHÈQUES, TRAVEL: THE GOVERNMENT PRESENTS PHASE 2 OF THE DECONFINEMENT

    The government has given...
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