St. Barts Discussion >> Storm Tracker

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timModerator
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Reged: 06/18/03
Posts: 5995
Loc: Vélo, Virginia, Vitet
I Don't Like Ike
      #140639 - 09/04/08 04:28 PM

Ike is getting really powerful. He's going to be a killer.

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MartinS



Reged: 05/25/03
Posts: 771
Loc: Anna Maria Island, Florida.
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: tim]
      #140647 - 09/04/08 05:12 PM

I think you are correct. If Josephine speeds up they could join. I don't have any beach left to give up here.

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fins85258



Reged: 05/02/05
Posts: 1092
Loc: Scottsdale, Az
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: MartinS]
      #140664 - 09/04/08 07:48 PM

Well, Ike isn't gonna catch Hanna and I doubt Josie is going to catch Ike. But Florida may take it on the chin three in a row 2 to 3 days apart at this rate.

Batten down the hatches boys!


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KevinS



Reged: 07/23/03
Posts: 3415
Loc: Boston
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: MartinS]
      #140666 - 09/04/08 08:01 PM

Quote:

I think you are correct. If Josephine speeds up they could join.




There's actually a name for the interaction between two storms. Wikipedia has an article on the Fujiwhara Effect .


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KevinS



Reged: 07/23/03
Posts: 3415
Loc: Boston
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: KevinS]
      #140668 - 09/04/08 08:15 PM

More info from Dr. Jeff Masters' blog on Weather Underground:

Quote:

Many readers have asked if Hanna and Ike could collide and make a super hurricane. Well, hurricanes cannot collide to make a bigger hurricane. When hurricanes get within about 900 miles of each, they begin to interact. There are three possible outcomes:

1) The larger storm will destroy the smaller one. The larger storm's upper-level outflow will bring hostile wind shear over the smaller storm, and the larger storm may steal the smaller storm's moisture. This occurred in 2005, when Hurricane Wilma destroyed Tropical Storm Alpha over Hispaniola.

2) Both hurricanes will compete for the same energy, resulting in weakening of both storms.

3) The storms will rotate around a common center of rotation (the Fujiwhara Effect), before going on their separate ways. Hurricane Humberto and Hurricane Iris took part in a brief Fujiwhara interaction in 1995. Iris then began interacting with a third storm, Tropical Storm Karen, which orbited and later merged with the more intense Iris. In cases, the two storms will merge, such as occurred in 1997 in the Pacific with Typhoon Yule and TD 16W.

Sometimes, a recurving hurricane will leave behind an enhanced trough of low pressure that will act to help recurve the storm behind it along the same path. This is possible this week with Ike and Hanna.





Link to Blog


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MartinS



Reged: 05/25/03
Posts: 771
Loc: Anna Maria Island, Florida.
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: tim]
      #140728 - 09/05/08 01:47 PM

Well,, if it stays on this track I will be getting wet. Ok, more than wet.



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MartinS



Reged: 05/25/03
Posts: 771
Loc: Anna Maria Island, Florida.
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: MartinS]
      #140729 - 09/05/08 01:49 PM

And them there's Josephine after this one. I would say my September 16th trip is not going to happen.

Tim, looks like I'll see you in Oct afterall.

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fins85258



Reged: 05/02/05
Posts: 1092
Loc: Scottsdale, Az
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: MartinS]
      #140754 - 09/05/08 06:26 PM

when in October?

Karen and I have Oct 5 - 11 blocked out for something. All I need to do is find $5K.

PS: Tina didn't think much of Ike either!

Edited by fins85258 (09/05/08 06:27 PM)


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MartinS



Reged: 05/25/03
Posts: 771
Loc: Anna Maria Island, Florida.
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: fins85258]
      #140766 - 09/05/08 08:26 PM

Right now it is all up in the air. I have not purchsed the fight, going to be last minute. I have a place set up for the 16th, but can change dates if need be. As it is now I am just waiting on clear weather to be able to leave. I am good with any date until it hits the change to high season on the island. If you go we may be able to have a drink. But there is no end in sight with these storms. June may be my next trip afterall.

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debo



Reged: 10/27/04
Posts: 931
Loc: St Louis Mo
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: MartinS]
      #140792 - 09/06/08 11:28 AM

Speaking of IKE...been routing my flights to the Caribbean around him all day..The Turks and Caicos are going to take a direct hit later tonight..The latest track we were given shows it heading out into the Gulf Monday with a path toward the Gulf Coast yet again..Of course a lot can change in the next 48 hrs but all our friends along the Gulf Coast and NOLA need to keep an eye on this one...

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lambchop1101



Reged: 07/27/07
Posts: 896
Loc: New Orleans, USA
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: debo]
      #140794 - 09/06/08 11:43 AM

i'm not even unpacking from my gustav evac!

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fins85258



Reged: 05/02/05
Posts: 1092
Loc: Scottsdale, Az
Re: I Don't Like Ike new [Re: MartinS]
      #140799 - 09/06/08 12:14 PM

I thought I would suprise Karen with the news and she threw me a curve ball. It seems she may be changing jobs into a new school district and they don't take a week break in Oct. I ask if I could go alone .......... she didn't laugh or smile.

News at 11:00

ps: Is Ike taking a bead on New Orleans ?

Edited by fins85258 (09/06/08 12:29 PM)


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