stbartslover
Reged: 02/09/03
Posts: 863
Loc: Ann Arbor. Flamands Blue
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Could be there Monday night depending on the track.
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JoshA
Reged: 08/28/05
Posts: 2224
Loc: Virginia
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Pretty hard to tell where it's going due to the large variance in predicted tracks.
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EARL
Reged: 06/14/03
Posts: 356
Loc: Tidewater area of Virginia
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Latest advisory:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/130844.shtml
-------------------- EARL
___[OoO]___
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SELES
Reged: 03/15/03
Posts: 1826
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Just north of Anguilla/SXM/SBH on Tuesday as a TS.
The US southeast coastline-north is not out of question, and this one will strengthen.
Ric
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/084525.shtml?5day?large#contents
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NHDiane
Reged: 08/06/03
Posts: 841
Loc: New Hampshire
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Our local stations are telling us this morning that the storm does not show that the conditions are favorable for strengthening. I think another bullet will be dodged.
-------------------- NH Di
"Viva Vitet"
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SELES
Reged: 03/15/03
Posts: 1826
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Quote:
Our local stations are telling us this morning that the storm does not show that the conditions are favorable for strengthening. I think another bullet will be dodged.
Probably true over the next 5 days, but beyond NOAA says different. I tend to stick with them & 3 trusty models for long range. Next week will tell, but living in the SE USA & having properties in Bullseye areas for Hurricanes, believe me when I say we are well studied on this subject & follow it like most follow a particular sport. Wish I didn't but have to...I have been in one Cat 5 Hurricane on SBH and Never Again if I can help it. The nightmares lasted for over a month!
Ric
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JEK
Moderator
Reged: 01/20/04
Posts: 10661
Loc: Northern Virginia
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-------------------- Carnaval 2009: Mardi 24 Février 2009!!!!
JEK
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NHDiane
Reged: 08/06/03
Posts: 841
Loc: New Hampshire
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Ric, Yes, I'm sure NOAA knows a lot more than our Boston stations! Located where you are I have no doubt that you are an expert as well. So that said, I'll continue to keep my eye on it! I didn't know that a Cat 5 storm ever hit SBH..how long ago was that and what the hell did you do? Head to Vitet?
-------------------- NH Di
"Viva Vitet"
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stbartslover
Reged: 02/09/03
Posts: 863
Loc: Ann Arbor. Flamands Blue
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JEK, How do you find all this? Hey Ric lets hope for the best, although I do like those hurricane survival stories.
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JEK
Moderator
Reged: 01/20/04
Posts: 10661
Loc: Northern Virginia
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Quote:
JEK, How do you find all this? Hey Ric lets hope for the best, although I do like those hurricane survival stories.
I've had the NOAA site bookmarked for years. The best source for tropical storms.
Thetrack as of this morning:
-------------------- Carnaval 2009: Mardi 24 Février 2009!!!!
JEK
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SELES
Reged: 03/15/03
Posts: 1826
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Quote:
Ric, Yes, I'm sure NOAA knows a lot more than our Boston stations! Located where you are I have no doubt that you are an expert as well. So that said, I'll continue to keep my eye on it! I didn't know that a Cat 5 storm ever hit SBH..how long ago was that and what the hell did you do? Head to Vitet?
I think it was '98 or '99, around November 20 (yes, November), a strange TS formed in the Gulf of Mexico & traveled east through Puerto Rico (yep, east), then straight to Saba, St. Barths and St. Martin, before turning south southeast and heading to Granada. It was a Cat 4, then a Cat 5 while it wobbled slowly between SBH & SXM for roughly 38 hours or so. Not one single leaf left on any bush or tree on the entire Island. Small Hurricane, but intense.
Diane, since this thing came from the west, the best place to be on SBH was eastern side where I was. Hurricane Lenny is the one that robbed Shell Beach of shells & killed off the remaining donkeys left on Columbier from Hurricane Louis. First you have to be high up, way from water, then hopefully protected from all the landslides (look west from airport or north from Governeur next time there for landslides), and THEN stay out of the ferocious wind directions.
And yep, we lived through Hugo in Charleston as well, but we fled inland.
Ric
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KevinS
Reged: 07/23/03
Posts: 3396
Loc: Boston
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Lenny was in November of '99. I went to SBH early that year, for the Le Select Jubilee, and was long gone when Lenny showed up.
Edited by KevinS (09/14/07 03:58 AM)
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